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Addressing the Columbia River Sea Lion Issue

Sea lion presence in the Columbia River is not new; tribal oral histories describe the occasional sea lion venturing as far upriver as Celilo Falls, but as a rare and noteworthy event, not a sign of them present in any numbers or on any regular basis. That pattern held for generations: sea lions were only rarely seen even at Bonneville Dam, closer to the river’s mouth, from its construction in 1937 until 2000.

That changed in the early 2000s, driven by three converging forces: California and Steller sea lion populations recovered to the point of approaching carrying capacity pushing more male animals further from rookeries; changing ecosystem conditions; and learned foraging behavior, passed between individual sea lions, drawing them back to the Columbia each year.

Over the following years, sea lion predation grew, affecting tribal and non-tribal fisheries, hatchery broodstock needs, and spawning escapement for wild populations, including numerous ESA-listed stocks on the brink of extinction. The impact has been severe: sea lions eat an estimated 20 to 25 percent of the spring chinook run and reached nearly 50 percent in the worst year, with salmon making up nearly 100 percent of a sea lion’s diet once it moves upriver above the estuary. For comparison, salmon and steelhead make up only 10 to 30 percent of a sea lion’s diet in coastal waters and the estuary.

At Bonneville Dam, individual sea lions typically eat 3 to 5 salmon a day, and is the most significant cause of adult upriver spring chinook mortality over the past two decades — a toll that falls heavily on ESA-listed populations. In 2015, the worst year on record, sea lions took an estimated 224,450 salmon between the river mouth and Bonneville Dam, nearly matching the number of spring chinook that managed to pass the dam that year. This was four times the number of fish harvested by all Columbia River fisheries (tribal and non-tribal combined) that year.

Monitoring by CRITFC, tribal, state, and federal partners estimate that sea lion predation near Bonneville Dam has been the most significant cause of adult upriver spring chinook mortality in the past two decades.



In 2008, the largest California sea lion on record was captured at Bonneville Dam, weighing 1,455 lbs. “He was the first recorded hybrid cross between a California sea lion and the Goodyear blimp,” joked Steve Jeffries of the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife. Photo courtesy of Steve Jeffries/WDFW.

Addressing the Situation

Co-managers agreed that the primary option to deal with the situation was through removal of the habituated animals, not only to spare salmon directly, but also to interrupt the spread of the behavior to more sea lions. This course of action, however, was limited by the Marine Mammal Protection Act.

Vice President Spiro Agnew signing the Marine Mammal Protection Act into law in 1972. This act established a national policy against allowing marine mammal populations to decline below levels needed to sustain a functioning ecosystem and was the first U.S. law built around an ecosystem-management approach. Unlike the Endangered Species Act, it contained no population-management or “delisting” mechanism.

Under MMPA protection, California and Steller sea lion populations rebounded to the point that they began impacting fisheries, particularly at pinch points like narrows and fish ladders. Prompted by sea lions threatening winter steelhead at Ballard Locks in Washington State, Congress amended the MMPA in 1994 (§120), allowing removal of individual sea lions shown to have a significant negative impact on ESA-listed salmon and steelhead, but requiring each animal to be individually identified through trapping, marking, and observation which was a slow, resource-intensive process.

These stringent guidelines were followed when the same situation developed in the Columbia River in 2001 (see images in next column), however they turned out to be difficult and ineffective in the much larger river system compared to the confines around Ballard Locks.

In 2018, another amendment was passed (§120(f)) that recognized tribal pinniped co-management authority for the first time and allowed area-based removal, rather than requiring case-by-case identification, within a confined stretch of the Columbia River.

Quick Gains

ABOVE: Under the §120 guidelines requiring each animal to be individually identified and marked, sea lion “C265” was trapped at Bonneville Dam in March 2007 and released at the Pacific Coast in Astoria.

BELOW: One month later, C265 was again captured at Bonneville Dam. During that time, feeding on a diet of spring chinook, his weight had doubled to over 1,000 lbs.

Successes

Using these authorities, co-managers have had some significant successes. In 2018, before §120(f) became law, 22 percent of the Willamette River winter steelhead run was eaten by sea lions at Willamette Falls. This fell to under 2 percent in 2019 after a targeted removal program began. That shift moved the run’s extirpation probability from 99 percent down to 3 percent.

Across the broader removal program, 517 sea lions (398 California, 116 Steller) have been removed to date, with very conservative estimates crediting the program with saving roughly 100,000 adult Columbia River salmonids between 2008 and 2023.

Operating under the guidelines and authorities provided under §120(f), co-managers gained invaluable experience and scientific data in determining what works as well as revealed limitations hindering the effort. For example, most male pinniped haul-out sites are located in the Columbia River mainstem, but §120(f) restricts lethal removal to designated tributaries, preventing co-managers’ ability to act where sea lions concentrate.

Percentage of potential winter steelhead escapement lost to sea lions at the base of Willamette Falls, 2014-2024.

A California sea lion eating a salmon at the base of Willamette Falls in 2018. Photo courtesy Northwest Power and Conservation Council.

Fine-tuning the Solution

To remedy these limitations, Rep. Michael Baumgartner (R-WA-5) and Rep. Emily Randall (D-WA-6) introduced H.R. 9621, the Northwest Endangered Salmon Predation Prevention Act, in July 2026. This bipartisan legislation, built on nearly 20 years of co-manager experience, amends §120(f) by expanding tribal, state, and federal co-managers’ authority to match the scale of the problem, giving them flexibility to adapt as conditions change, and encouraging development of new non-lethal deterrent technology.

  1. Expand the Removal Area — Extends trapping and lethal removal authority to the entire Columbia River, rather than only the currently designated haul-out sites, reflecting the documented shift in pinniped range and behavior.
  2. Adaptive Management Authority — Grants state and tribal co-managers flexibility to employ adaptive, science-based management strategies as conditions continue to change, rather than operating under a fixed set of removal rules.
  3. Technology Accelerator — Establishes an accelerator to develop technologies that exclude seals and sea lions from salmon-bearing waters on the Columbia and elsewhere, adding a non-lethal tool to the co-managers’ options, as well as preventing future habituated males.

H.R. 9621 does not create a new management approach — it extends the existing methodology that has already been shown to work, to the geographic scope this problem actually requires. It is built on the same science-based, co-manager-led framework established under §120(f) in 2018 and is intended to protect Pacific Northwest salmon and steelhead runs, and the substantial public investment in dam passage, habitat restoration, and hatchery programs before further predation losses put those investments — and the tribal cultures, treaty rights, and regional fisheries at further risk.

Sea lions at the mouth of the Cowlitz River (river mile 121), a lower tributary of the Columbia RIver. In 2020, NOAA granted a Section 120(f) permit allowing sea lion removal in Columbia River tributaries. Sea lions gather at docks on the mainstem Columbia near the Cowlitz River during smelt runs, but trapping them effectively requires placing traps at haul-out sites outside the permit’s tributary boundaries. Photo courtesy Wash. Sen. Jeff Wilson’s office



A sea lion in the Kalama River (river mile 73). Screenshot from an April 27, 2026 video shared on social media.

California and Steller Sea Lion Sustainability

H.R. 9621’s removal authority poses no threat to the overall population health of either species — both are MMPA recovery successes at or near target population levels.

The West Coast California sea lion population is roughly 275,000 and near carrying capacity[1]; the Steller sea lion population is roughly 70,000 and growing about 5% annually. The MMPA’s Potential Biological Removal (PBR) — the maximum removable while sustaining the population — is 14,011 for California sea lions and 2,176 for Stellers.

Program removals are minor against these thresholds: In total, 398 California sea lions have been removed from the Columbia River system (about 0.14% of the population, spread over nearly two decades) and 116 Stellers (about 0.17%). Even fully exhausting the current §120(f) permit (424 more California, 60 more Steller) would stay under a single year’s PBR for either species — a scenario never approached. By contrast, many spring chinook populations are quasi-extinct (<50 fish), where losing even one fish costs at least 2% of the population.

Since nearly all sea lions that are in the Columbia River are males (the females stay closer to the rookeries with their young), removals have almost zero impact to the broader population.

Ongoing monitoring and evaluation is required by this amendment to ensure the long-term sustainability and health of these populations.

[1] Sam Rauch testimony before House Natural Resources Subcommittee, December 5, 2025.

Scientific Research, Publications, and Reports

  • Pinniped Predation on Salmonids in the Washington Portions of the Salish Sea and Outer Coast
    Washington State Academy of Sciences, 11/2022
    This report finds that pinnipeds are significant predators of Washington’s salmonids, with some individuals specializing on salmon at migration bottlenecks, but concludes their overall impact relative to other stressors like habitat loss and climate change remains uncertain due to the system’s ecological complexity. It recommends adaptive management experiments—potentially including targeted lethal removals—paired with careful monitoring to better quantify pinniped predation’s effects, arguing that uncertainty should drive well-designed intervention rather than inaction.
  • 1999 Report to Congress: Impacts of California Sea Lions and Pacific Harbor Seals on Salmonids and West Coast Ecosystems
    NOAA Fishers, 2/1999
    This NOAA report finds that while pinniped predation is not the primary driver of West Coast salmonid declines, growing sea lion and seal populations can impede recovery of vulnerable stocks, particularly at bottlenecks like dams and fish ladders, even though quantifying these impacts remains methodologically challenging. It recommends a streamlined, site-specific management framework allowing targeted lethal removal of problem individuals only after non-lethal deterrents fail, paired with better data collection and monitoring to balance salmonid recovery against sustainable pinniped populations.
  • Changes in adult Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) survival within the lower Columbia River amid increasing pinniped abundance
    Rub, et al, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 1/1999
    This six-year PIT-tag and genetic study estimates that 20-44% of adult spring-run Chinook salmon die annually below Bonneville Dam from non-harvest mortality, with statistical modeling identifying pinniped predation as the most likely cause and salmon survival odds dropping 32% for every 467 additional sea lions present, while rising with shad abundance, suggesting prey-switching. The authors conclude pinniped predation is a significant and growing mortality source—likely underestimated by dam-focused removal programs since much occurs elsewhere—with important implications for Chinook recovery and the need for integrated predator-prey management.
  • Environmental fluctuation and shifting predation pressure contribute to substantial variation in early marine survival of steelhead
    Moore, et al, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 3/2021
    This 2006–2019 study finds that Nisqually River steelhead smolt survival through Puget Sound is highly variable (typically under 15%, but reaching 38% during the 2016–2017 marine heatwave) and is strongly linked to northern anchovy abundance, which draws harbor seal predation away from steelhead when anchovy are plentiful. The authors conclude that climate-driven shifts in prey availability mediate this predator-prey relationship, underscoring the need for ecosystem-based, adaptive management that accounts for broader food-web dynamics rather than direct predation alone.